Backtesting Tool
SIP vs Lumpsum Backtester
Compare SIP and lumpsum returns using actual mutual fund NAV history — not assumptions.
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Lumpsum
SIP
Portfolio Value Over Time
SIP vs Lumpsum — Which Investment Strategy Is Better?
This is the most common question Indian mutual fund investors ask: should I invest a lumpsum amount at once, or spread it across monthly SIPs? The textbook answer — "SIP is safer due to rupee cost averaging" — is only half the story. The real answer depends on which fund you pick, what the market did during that period, and how long you stayed invested.
This backtester settles the debate with data instead of opinions. It uses actual historical NAV data from AMFI to simulate both strategies — lumpsum (full amount invested on day one) and SIP (equal monthly instalments) — for any mutual fund scheme over 1, 3, 5, or 10 years. The results reflect real market volatility, crashes, and rallies — not theoretical assumed returns.
In rising markets, lumpsum typically outperforms because the full capital is deployed early at lower NAVs. In volatile, falling, or sideways markets, SIP wins because rupee cost averaging buys more units when prices are low. This tool shows you which strategy actually won for a specific fund over a specific period — so you can make informed decisions based on evidence, not assumptions.
How to Use This SIP vs Lumpsum Backtester
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1
Search for a mutual fund
Type any part of the fund name — e.g. "Nifty 50 Index", "HDFC Flexi Cap", "Parag Parikh". The search covers all AMFI-registered schemes and prioritises Direct Growth plans.
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2
Select a time period
Choose 1 year, 3 years, 5 years, or 10 years. The backtester simulates both strategies starting from that many years ago up to the most recent NAV available.
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3
Compare the results
You'll see side-by-side cards showing the final value for both strategies (assuming ₹1,00,000 invested), a winner banner, and a line chart plotting both growth trajectories over time.
When Does Lumpsum Beat SIP (and Vice Versa)?
Lumpsum Wins in Bull Markets
When markets are consistently rising, investing the full amount on day one captures more growth. Every rupee is compounding from the start. Historically, lumpsum beats SIP about 65–70% of the time over 10-year periods in India.
SIP Wins in Volatile Markets
In choppy, sideways, or falling markets, SIP's rupee cost averaging buys more units at lower NAVs. When the market eventually recovers, those cheap units generate outsized returns. SIP also removes the emotional risk of investing a large amount right before a crash.
Time in Market > Timing the Market
Whether you invest lumpsum or SIP, staying invested for 7+ years has historically delivered positive real returns in Indian equity markets. The worst strategy is keeping money idle in a savings account while waiting for the "right time" to invest.
The Practical Reality
Most salaried investors don't have a large lumpsum to deploy — they earn monthly and invest monthly. SIP is the natural fit for regular income. Lumpsum makes sense for bonuses, inheritance, or matured investments that need redeployment.
What Is Rupee Cost Averaging?
Rupee cost averaging is the core advantage of SIP investing. When you invest a fixed amount every month, you automatically buy more units when the NAV is low and fewer units when the NAV is high. Over time, this brings down your average cost per unit — without you having to predict or time market movements.
Example: If you invest ₹10,000/month in a fund whose NAV fluctuates between ₹40 and ₹50 over 6 months, your average cost per unit will be lower than ₹45 — because you bought more units during the months when NAV was ₹40. A lumpsum investor who bought at ₹45 on day one would have a higher average cost.
This effect is most powerful in volatile markets. In a steadily rising market, rupee cost averaging actually works against you — because you keep buying at progressively higher NAVs. That's why lumpsum can outperform SIP during bull runs.
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